The U.S. vacancy rate gradually declined over the past three years and is at the mid-point between its pre-recession low and recessionary peak (14.5% in Q2 2014). Downtown markets in Denver, Houston, San Francisco, Manhattan, Atlanta, Boston and Seattle are landlord-favorable, while Dallas-Ft. Worth, Los Angeles, Philadelphia, Chicago and Washington, D.C., are still tenant-favorable, but approaching a tipping point.
“By virtually all metrics, the second quarter of 2014 was one of the most robust in years in the office market with more than 15 million sq. ft. of positive net absorption—the highest quarterly figure since 2007,” said Colin Yasukochi, director of research and analysis for CBRE. “Healthy job growth and historically low levels of new construction means that companies need more space to put these employees, but with limited new supply, we’re now seeing a supply-demand imbalance in many key markets. This is very positive for landlords, but challenging for tenants.”
“Tightening labor markets and rising rents are causing tenants to be more focused on location strategies,” said Whitley Collins, who leads CBRE’s Occupier Services Division in the Americas. “As we move toward owner-favorable markets in some downtown areas, tenants who have leases coming due in the next three to five years need to lock in long-term leases in downtown areas now, or consider relocation to a suburban office market where tenants continue to be in the driver’s seat.”
Leasing activity in almost every market is being led by the high-tech sector. High-tech companies accounted for 19.9 percent of all U.S. major leasing activity in the first half of 2014 (when looking at the 25 largest leases completed in the top 57 U.S. office markets each quarter). Financial services and business services were the second and third most active sectors, at 12.4 percent and 10.6 percent, respectively.